You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE RECORDA 36–44 · B 124–98 · C 165–153 · 35 push — prospective, every grade frozen before first pitch and settled by machine.full record →
BEST OF THE SLATE
FEATURED · HIGHEST CONVICTION · stake 1u
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
3:10 PM CDTA First-5 Over 4.5misswas B at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayB Over 8.0 runsmiss
Cody Bradford
Kade AndersonTOTALmarket 51%
B cards won 52% · gap 1.3 · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5market 47%
A cards won 55% · gap 7.6 · stake 1u
The away starter strikes out 16.2% of batters, adjusted — a lower strikeout rate than average
full card →FINAL123456789RTEX0100000102SEA01020000—3
game view →B GRADES· 4
Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers
9:10 PM CDTB Under 8.0 runsmissC First-5 Over 4.5hit
Rhett Lowder
Yoshinobu YamamotoTOTALmarket 49%
B cards won 52% · gap 3.5 · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5market 49%
C cards won 51% · gap 1.8
The away team allowing 5.9 runs a game, last 30 — above league average. Priced in, and it went too far — counts toward the under
full card →FINAL123456789RCIN0001000001LAD01260221—14
game view →Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics
2:05 PM CDTB Over 9.5 runsmisswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Over 5.0
Braydon Fisher
Brady Bassomarket 47%
B cards won 52% · gap 4.8 · stake 0.5u
Walk-prone umpire zone
full card →FINAL123456789RTOR0000000000ATH00110000—2
game view →Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox
6:40 PM CDTB Under 9.0 runshitno lean · First-5 Over 5.0
Lake Bachar
Davis Martinmarket 52%
B cards won 52% · gap 0.2 · stake 0.5u
The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games
full card →FINAL123456789RPIT0000103004CWS0000001102
game view →Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
6:15 PM CDTB First-5 Over 4.5hitwas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC Over 8.0 runshitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Griffin Jax
Reynaldo LópezTOTALmarket 50%
C cards won 52% · gap 1.8
FIRST 5market 50%
B cards won 49% · gap 1.2
The home starter hasn't thrown a major-league pitch in 30 days
full card →FINAL123456789RTB0303001007ATL0001010002
game view →C GRADES· worth a look, thinner edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
6:40 PM CDTC First-5 Over 5.0hitno lean · Over 8.5 runs
Zac Gallen
Daniel Lynch IVFINAL123456789RAZ0001100002KC01103000—5
game view →Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
5:45 PM CDTC Under 9.0 runsmisswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Over 5.0
Ryan Johnson
Jake BennettFINAL123456789RLAA0051000006BOS0000210014
game view →Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers
6:40 PM CDTC First-5 Over 4.0hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Over 7.5 runs
Kevin Gausman
Logan HendersonFINAL123456789RCHC0001000056MIL33100100—8
game view →St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants
2:45 PM CDTC First-5 Over 4.5hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Under 8.0 runs
Andre Pallante
Blade Tidwell SERIES_UNDER The last game in this series finished 4.5 runs under its closing total — 3 runs against a total of 7.5. In 2021–25, the next game went under 54.6% of the time · personal rule, not graded
full card →FINAL123456789RSTL0130110006SF10000006—7
game view →THE REST OF THE SLATE· 6 games, no lean — the market has these priced
Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees · 6:05 PM CDT · Tomoyuki Sugano vs Will Warrencard →Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM CDT · Foster Griffin vs Shane Bazcard →Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM CDT · Hunter Brown vs Cristopher Sánchezcard →Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers · 12:10 PM CDT · Zebby Matthews vs Keider Monterocard →Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres · 3:10 PM CDT · Jackson Kent vs Walker Buehlercard →New York Mets @ Miami Marlins · 5:40 PM CDT · Robert Stock vs Janson Junkcard →
Honest row: grades cap at the band — extreme disagreement doesn't earn extra conviction. Moneyline is ungraded because the model hasn't beaten that market, and we say so. Model fit 2021–2025, leave-one-season-out; F5 grades ride a shorter history (2023–2025). No grade is ever re-graded; only its result is filled in after the game. · Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.