You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE RECORDA 35–41 · B 113–94 · C 153–142 · 31 push — prospective, every grade frozen before first pitch and settled by machine.full record →
BEST OF THE SLATE
FEATURED · HIGHEST CONVICTION · stake 1u
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds
11:40 AM CDTA First-5 Over 5.5hitC Over 10.0 runspush
Justin Wrobleski
Brady SingerTOTALmarket 49%
C cards won 52% · gap 2.8
FIRST 5market 53%
A cards won 55% · gap 1.8 · stake 1u
93°F — heat carries the ball
full card →FINAL123456789RLAD2203000018CIN0001000012
game view →A GRADES· 1 more
Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros
6:15 PM CDTA Over 9.0 runsmisswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayB First-5 Over 5.0push
Seth Lugo
Miguel UllolaTOTALmarket 47%
A cards won 54% · gap 7.0 · stake 1u
FIRST 5market 48%
B cards won 49% · gap 1.4
One driver on this card sits far outside its normal range; the model is extrapolating.
full card →FINAL123456789RKC1000000102HOU11002101—6
game view →B GRADES· 1
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
11:35 AM CDTB First-5 Under 4.5misswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC Under 9.0 runsmiss
Kyle Harrison
Wilber DotelTOTALmarket 53%
C cards won 52% · gap 0.6
FIRST 5market 48%
B cards won 49% · gap 1.5
Team strength & form leans under — mostly the away team
full card →FINAL123456789RMIL0100010204PIT05000002—7
game view →C GRADES· worth a look, thinner edge
Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels
8:38 PM CDTC Under 7.0 runsmissC First-5 Under 3.5hitwas B at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward us
Taj Bradley
Walbert UreñaFINAL12345678910RMIN00000001214LAA30000000025
game view →Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox
6:40 PM CDTC Under 8.5 runshitno lean · First-5 Over 4.5
Framber Valdez
Erick FeddeFINAL123456789RDET0010000001CWS30000000—3
game view →THE REST OF THE SLATE· 4 games, no lean — the market has these priced
Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers · 7:05 PM CDT · Sonny Gray vs Tyler Alexandercard →Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets · 6:15 PM CDT · Aaron Nola vs Nolan McLeancard →San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies · 2:10 PM CDT · Michael King vs Tanner Gordoncard →Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays · 12:10 PM CDT · Jeffrey Springs vs Drew Rasmussencard →
Honest row: grades cap at the band — extreme disagreement doesn't earn extra conviction. Moneyline is ungraded because the model hasn't beaten that market, and we say so. Model fit 2021–2025, leave-one-season-out; F5 grades ride a shorter history (2023–2025). No grade is ever re-graded; only its result is filled in after the game. · Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.