You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE RECORDA 36–42 · B 117–97 · C 157–144 · 32 push — prospective, every grade frozen before first pitch and settled by machine.full record →
BEST OF THE SLATE
FEATURED · HIGHEST CONVICTION · stake 1u
Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles
6:05 PM CDTA Under 8.0 runsmisswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Under 4.5
Dustin May
Cade Povichmarket 48%
A cards won 54% · gap 5.9 · stake 1u
Team strength & form leans under — mostly the away team
full card →FINAL12345678910RMIL03000000216BAL00300000205
game view →A GRADES· 1 more
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
5:40 PM CDTA First-5 Over 4.5hitwas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayB Over 8.5 runshitwas A at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward us
Clay Holmes
Chase BurnsTOTALmarket 51%
B cards won 52% · gap 0.9 · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5market 47%
A cards won 55% · gap 7.8 · stake 1u
Both teams above league average in home runs, last 30 games
full card →FINAL123456789RCHC0112000004CIN20100300—6
game view →B GRADES· 5
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
6:15 PM CDTB Under 8.5 runsmisswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayB First-5 Under 4.5hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Tim Mayza
Zach ThorntonTOTALmarket 49%
B cards won 52% · gap 3.4 · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5market 50%
B cards won 49% · gap 0.7
Starting pitchers leans under — mostly the away team
SERIES_UNDER The last game in this series finished 5 runs under its closing total — 3 runs against a total of 8. In 2021–25, the next game went under 54.6% of the time · personal rule, not graded
full card →FINAL123456789RPHI0100011003NYM30000300—6
game view →Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels
8:38 PM CDTB First-5 Under 4.0hitno lean · Over 8.0 runs
Connor Prielipp
Grayson Rodriguezmarket 47%
B cards won 49% · gap 2.6
The home starter has thrown 468 pitches over 30 days
full card →FINAL123456789RMIN2000001003LAA0000000000
game view →Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies
7:10 PM CDTB Under 10.5 runshitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC First-5 Under 5.5hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Bryan Woo
Gabriel HughesTOTALmarket 50%
B cards won 52% · gap 2.6 · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5market 49%
C cards won 51% · gap 1.5
Bullpen leans under — mostly the home team
full card →FINAL123456789RSEA3000001015COL1001020004
game view →Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians
6:10 PM CDTB First-5 Under 4.5missC Under 8.0 runspushwas B at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward us
Mason Barnett
Daniel EspinoTOTALmarket 48%
C cards won 52% · gap 3.9
FIRST 5market 48%
B cards won 49% · gap 1.1
The home team's catcher gains extra strikes behind the plate
full card →FINAL123456789RATH3000000003CLE00031100—5
game view →Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
5:40 PM CDTB Under 8.5 runsmisswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Over 4.5
Randy Dobnak
Paul Skenesmarket 51%
B cards won 52% · gap 1.3 · stake 0.5u
Bullpen leans under — mostly the home team
full card →FINAL123456789RKC1031000005PIT00221030—8
game view →C GRADES· worth a look, thinner edge
San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers
9:15 PM CDTC Under 8.0 runsmisswas B at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward usno lean · First-5 Over 4.5
Cesar Perdomo
Tyler GlasnowFINAL123456789RSF0110000002LAD10001105—8
game view →Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals
7:15 PM CDTC Over 7.5 runshitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC First-5 Over 4.0hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Cade Cavalli
Kyle LeahyFINAL123456789RWSH3041010009STL0000000101
game view →Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox
6:40 PM CDTC Under 8.0 runsmissC First-5 Over 4.5hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Andrew Sears
David Sandlin SERIES_UNDER The last game in this series finished 4.5 runs under its closing total — 4 runs against a total of 8.5. In 2021–25, the next game went under 54.6% of the time · personal rule, not graded
full card →FINAL123456789RDET10103105011CWS6020000008
game view →THE REST OF THE SLATE· 5 games, no lean — the market has these priced
Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers · 7:05 PM CDT · Dylan Cease vs Kumar Rockercard →Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays · 6:10 PM CDT · Ranger Suarez vs Ian Seymourcard →New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:40 PM CDT · Gerrit Cole vs Eduardo Rodriguezcard →Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres · 8:40 PM CDT · Tyler Phillips vs Nick Pivettacard →Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros · 7:10 PM CDT · Tyler Mahle vs Peter Lambertcard →
Honest row: grades cap at the band — extreme disagreement doesn't earn extra conviction. Moneyline is ungraded because the model hasn't beaten that market, and we say so. Model fit 2021–2025, leave-one-season-out; F5 grades ride a shorter history (2023–2025). No grade is ever re-graded; only its result is filled in after the game. · Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.