You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE RECORDA 36–42 · B 117–97 · C 157–144 · 32 push — prospective, every grade frozen before first pitch and settled by machine.full record →
BEST OF THE SLATE
FEATURED · HIGHEST CONVICTION · stake 1u
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds
5:40 PM CDTA First-5 Over 3.5missB Over 7.5 runsmiss
Tarik Skubal
Nick LodoloTOTALmarket 49%
B cards won 52% · gap 2.8 · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5market 53%
A cards won 55% · gap 1.8 · stake 1u
The home team above league average in home runs, last 30 games
full card →FINAL123456789RLAD0102001004CIN0000000011
game view →B GRADES· 1
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets
6:10 PM CDTB First-5 Over 4.5misswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Over 8.0 runs
Brandon Young
Jonah Tongmarket 48%
B cards won 49% · gap 1.1
The home team above league average in home runs, last 30 games
full card →FINAL123456789RBAL0100000102NYM0001000001
game view →C GRADES· worth a look, thinner edge
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
5:40 PM CDTC First-5 Under 3.5hitwas A at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward usno lean · Over 7.0 runs
Sean Newcomb
Gavin WilliamsFINAL123456789RCWS0000060017CLE0000010023
game view →Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels
8:38 PM CDTC Under 7.5 runsmissno lean · First-5 Under 4.0
Kade Anderson
Reid DetmersFINAL123456789RSEA0003001004LAA20202000—6
game view →San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals
6:45 PM CDTC Over 8.0 runsmisswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Over 4.0
Landen Roupp
Quinn MathewsFINAL123456789RSF0000010001STL00002000—2
game view →Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs
6:40 PM CDTC First-5 Over 5.5missno lean · Under 9.5 runs
Reynaldo López
David PetersonFINAL123456789RATL0000003003CHC03200200—7
game view →San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies
7:40 PM CDTC First-5 Over 6.0hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Under 11.0 runs
Casey Mize
Tomoyuki SuganoFINAL123456789RSD1410001108COL1000131107
game view →THE REST OF THE SLATE· 3 games, no lean — the market has these priced
Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:40 PM CDT · Sandy Alcantara vs Corbin Burnescard →New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins · 6:40 PM CDT · Will Warren vs Dean Kremercard →Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays · 6:07 PM CDT · Troy Melton vs José Sorianocard →
Honest row: grades cap at the band — extreme disagreement doesn't earn extra conviction. Moneyline is ungraded because the model hasn't beaten that market, and we say so. Model fit 2021–2025, leave-one-season-out; F5 grades ride a shorter history (2023–2025). No grade is ever re-graded; only its result is filled in after the game. · Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.