You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE RECORDA 38–45 · B 125–101 · C 171–154 · 37 push — prospective, every grade frozen before first pitch and settled by machine.full record →
BEST OF THE SLATE
FEATURED · HIGHEST CONVICTION · stake 1u
Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins
6:10 PM CDTA Over 8.5 runsmisswas B at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayB First-5 Over 4.0misswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Shota Imanaga
Janson JunkTOTALmarket 48%
A cards won 54% · gap 6.1 · stake 1u
FIRST 5market 53%
B cards won 49% · gap 3.4
The away team above league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games
full card →FINAL123456789RCHC0100031016MIA0000001001
game view →B GRADES· 4
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
5:10 PM CDTB First-5 Over 5.0hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Over 9.5 runs
Shane Drohan
Rhett Lowdermarket 52%
B cards won 49% · gap 2.3
96°F — heat carries the ball
full card →FINAL123456789RMIL02205100010CIN1230001007
game view →Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox
6:40 PM CDTB Over 9.0 runsmissno lean · First-5 Over 5.0
Zebby Matthews
Erick Feddemarket 52%
B cards won 52% · gap 0.0 · stake 0.5u
Schedule spot leans over — mostly the home team
full card →FINAL123456789RMIN0000000011CWS11020000—4
game view →New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres
8:40 PM CDTB First-5 Over 4.0misswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Over 7.5 runs
Max Fried
Walker Buehlermarket 51%
B cards won 49% · gap 2.2
The away starter recently back from injury
full card →FINAL12345678910RNYY00100000012SD01000000023
game view →Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
1:10 PM CDTB First-5 Under 4.5misswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC Over 8.5 runshitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Keider Montero
Logan AllenTOTALmarket 48%
C cards won 52% · gap 3.7
FIRST 5market 48%
B cards won 49% · gap 1.5
The home team's catcher gains extra strikes behind the plate
full card →FINAL123456789RDET4110000006CLE1005000017
game view →C GRADES· worth a look, thinner edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals
7:10 PM CDTC Over 10.0 runshitno lean · First-5 Over 5.5
Jameson Taillon
Daniel Lynch IVFINAL123456789RTOR4100030019KC1000000012
game view →Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
6:05 PM CDTC Over 8.0 runsmissC First-5 Over 4.5miss
Ranger Suarez
Shane BazFINAL123456789RBOS1000000001BAL0000000000
game view →Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
5:40 PM CDTC Over 7.0 runspushC First-5 Over 3.0hitwas B at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward us
Chris Sale
Cristopher SánchezFINAL123456789RATL0300000205PHI0101000002
game view →Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros
7:10 PM CDTC Over 9.0 runsmisswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Over 5.0
Merrill Kelly
Cristian JavierFINAL123456789RAZ0001000001HOU00300000—3
game view →Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
6:15 PM CDTC Under 8.0 runshitC First-5 Under 4.5hit
Andrew SearsFoster GriffinFINAL12345678910RDET00201000003CLE00000102014
game view →San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets
6:10 PM CDTC Over 8.0 runshitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Over 4.5
Matt Wilkinson
Nolan McLeanFINAL123456789RSF0020001306NYM34000201—10
game view →Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers
7:05 PM CDTC Under 8.5 runsmissno lean · First-5 Over 4.5
Nick Martinez
Trevor WilliamsFINAL123456789RTB0011400017TEX0100004016
game view →THE REST OF THE SLATE· 4 games, no lean — the market has these priced
Athletics @ Seattle Mariners · 9:10 PM CDT · Kade Morris vs Logan Gilbertcard →Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:45 PM CDT · Ryan Johnson vs Jared Jonescard →Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers · 9:10 PM CDT · Jackson Kent vs Blake Snellcard →St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies · 7:40 PM CDT · Andre Pallante vs Ryan Feltnercard →
Honest row: grades cap at the band — extreme disagreement doesn't earn extra conviction. Moneyline is ungraded because the model hasn't beaten that market, and we say so. Model fit 2021–2025, leave-one-season-out; F5 grades ride a shorter history (2023–2025). No grade is ever re-graded; only its result is filled in after the game. · Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.