You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE RECORDA 38–45 · B 125–101 · C 171–154 · 37 push — prospective, every grade frozen before first pitch and settled by machine.full record →
BEST OF THE SLATE
FEATURED · HIGHEST CONVICTION · stake 0.5u
Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates
5:40 PM CDTB Under 7.5 runshitno lean · First-5 Under 4.0
Yusei Kikuchi
Braxton Ashcraftmarket 49%
B cards won 52% · gap 2.8 · stake 0.5u
The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games
SERIES_UNDER The last game in this series finished 8 runs under its closing total — 1 run against a total of 9. In 2021–25, the next game went under 54.6% of the time · personal rule, not graded
full card →FINAL123456789RLAA0001203006PIT0000000101
game view →B GRADES· 6 more
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
6:05 PM CDTB Over 7.5 runsmissno lean · First-5 Over 4.0
Sonny Gray
Chris Bassittmarket 51%
B cards won 52% · gap 1.0 · stake 0.5u
The away team's bullpen worked hard the last three days
SERIES_UNDER The last game in this series finished 7 runs under its closing total — 1 run against a total of 8. In 2021–25, the next game went under 54.6% of the time · personal rule, not graded · this card grades the OVER — the rule points the other way
full card →FINAL123456789RBOS0000032005BAL0000000000
game view →Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
5:10 PM CDTB Under 7.0 runshitno lean · First-5 Under 3.5
Framber Valdez
Parker Messickmarket 51%
B cards won 52% · gap 1.3 · stake 0.5u
Bullpen leans under
full card →FINAL123456789RDET1010013006CLE0000000000
game view →Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers
8:10 PM CDTB First-5 Over 3.5hitwas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Over 7.0 runs
Cade Cavalli
Tyler Glasnowmarket 47%
B cards won 49% · gap 2.6
Game-time temperature 82°F
full card →FINAL123456789RWSH0102001015LAD20000031—6
game view →Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
5:40 PM CDTB First-5 Over 5.0misswas A at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward usno lean · Over 9.0 runs
Dustin May
Andrew Abbottmarket 49%
B cards won 49% · gap 0.1
89°F — heat carries the ball
full card →FINAL123456789RMIL1010001003CIN10010111—5
game view →Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros
6:15 PM CDTB Over 9.0 runsmisswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC First-5 Over 4.5misswas B at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward us
Brandon Pfaadt
Ethan PeckoTOTALmarket 48%
B cards won 52% · gap 4.4 · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5market 53%
C cards won 51% · gap 1.7
Schedule spot leans over — mostly the home team
SERIES_UNDER The last game in this series finished 5 runs under its closing total — 4 runs against a total of 9. In 2021–25, the next game went under 54.6% of the time · personal rule, not graded · this card grades the OVER — the rule points the other way
full card →FINAL12345678910RAZ00001011014HOU00201000003
game view →New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres
6:15 PM CDTB First-5 Over 4.5hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Under 7.5 runs
Carlos Rodón
Robbie Raymarket 47%
B cards won 49% · gap 2.6
Offense profile leans over — mostly the home team
full card →FINAL123456789RNYY0410000005SD0001000001
game view →THE REST OF THE SLATE· 8 games, no lean — the market has these priced
Athletics @ Seattle Mariners · 8:40 PM CDT · Jeffrey Springs vs George Kirbycard →St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM CDT · Matthew Liberatore vs Mason Adamscard →Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers · 6:05 PM CDT · Drew Rasmussen vs Jacob deGromcard →Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM CDT · Max Scherzer vs Seth Lugocard →Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM CDT · Taj Bradley vs Anthony Kay · SERIES_UNDERcard →San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets · 3:10 PM CDT · Anthony Molina vs Zach Thorntoncard →Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies · 5:05 PM CDT · Martín Pérez vs Zack Wheelercard →Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins · 3:10 PM CDT · Javier Assad vs Ryan Gustocard →
Honest row: grades cap at the band — extreme disagreement doesn't earn extra conviction. Moneyline is ungraded because the model hasn't beaten that market, and we say so. Model fit 2021–2025, leave-one-season-out; F5 grades ride a shorter history (2023–2025). No grade is ever re-graded; only its result is filled in after the game. · Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.