You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE RECORDA 36–44 · B 119–97 · C 162–149 · 32 push — prospective, every grade frozen before first pitch and settled by machine.full record →
BEST OF THE SLATE
FEATURED · HIGHEST CONVICTION · stake 1u
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
6:45 PM CDTA Under 8.0 runsmissno lean · First-5 Over 4.5
Andrew Abbott
Dustin Maymarket 50%
A cards won 54% · gap 4.4 · stake 1u
The away team allowing 6.1 runs a game, last 30 — above league average. Priced in, and it went too far — counts toward the under
full card →FINAL123456789RCIN0000000000MIL26018003—20
game view →A GRADES· 1 more
Texas Rangers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
8:40 PM CDTA Under 8.5 runsmisswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Under 5.0
MacKenzie Gore
Merrill Kellymarket 47%
A cards won 54% · gap 7.0 · stake 1u
Starting pitchers leans under — mostly the away team
full card →FINAL123456789RTEX0000100001AZ00004500—9
game view →B GRADES· 5
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins
6:10 PM CDTB First-5 Over 4.0misswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC Over 7.5 runshitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Ryan GustoTOTALmarket 47%
C cards won 52% · gap 4.8
FIRST 5market 48%
B cards won 49% · gap 1.1
The away team playing like a .611 club right now
full card →FINAL123456789RLAD0010014006MIA0000010102
game view →Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers
5:40 PM CDTB First-5 Under 4.5hitC Under 8.0 runspush
Mason Adams
Framber ValdezTOTALmarket 50%
C cards won 52% · gap 2.2
FIRST 5market 53%
B cards won 49% · gap 3.4
The home starter has thrown 476 pitches over 30 days
full card →FINAL123456789RCOL0000100012DET00001401—6
game view →Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals
5:45 PM CDTB Under 7.5 runshitC First-5 Under 4.0hit
Yusei Kikuchi
Cade CavalliTOTALmarket 49%
B cards won 52% · gap 3.5 · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5market 49%
C cards won 51% · gap 1.5
The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games
full card →FINAL123456789RLAA1000001013WSH00010003—4
game view →Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals
7:15 PM CDTB First-5 Over 4.5hitwas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC Over 7.5 runshitwas B at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward us
Anthony Kay
Matthew LiberatoreTOTALmarket 52%
C cards won 52% · gap 0.5
FIRST 5market 48%
B cards won 49% · gap 1.4
Offense profile leans over
full card →FINAL123456789RCWS1010000103STL11103010—7
game view →Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins
7:10 PM CDTB First-5 Under 4.0hitno lean · Under 7.5 runs
Parker Messick
Taj Bradleymarket 51%
B cards won 49% · gap 2.0
Starting pitchers leans under
full card →FINAL123456789RCLE0000002035MIN0100001002
game view →C GRADES· worth a look, thinner edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
1:20 PM CDTC First-5 Over 4.5hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Over 8.5 runs
Wilber Dotel
Shota ImanagaFINAL123456789RPIT1000010002CHC03240210—12
game view →Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox
6:10 PM CDTC Over 8.5 runsmisswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC First-5 Over 4.5hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Seth Lugo
Sonny GrayFINAL123456789RKC1020000003BOS0000200002
game view →San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants
9:15 PM CDTC First-5 Over 4.0hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Over 7.5 runs
Robbie Ray
Anthony MolinaFINAL123456789RSD0250000007SF1000400005
game view →Seattle Mariners @ Athletics
8:40 PM CDTC Under 10.5 runsmissno lean · First-5 Over 5.5
George Kirby
Jeffrey SpringsFINAL12345678910RSEA11000200015ATH20200000026
game view →THE REST OF THE SLATE· 4 games, no lean — the market has these priced
New York Mets @ New York Yankees · 6:05 PM CDT · Nolan McLean vs Carlos Rodóncard →Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays · 6:07 PM CDT · Chris Bassitt vs Max Scherzercard →Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays · 6:10 PM CDT · Miguel Ullola vs Drew Rasmussencard →Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves · 6:15 PM CDT · Aaron Nola vs Chris Salecard →
Honest row: grades cap at the band — extreme disagreement doesn't earn extra conviction. Moneyline is ungraded because the model hasn't beaten that market, and we say so. Model fit 2021–2025, leave-one-season-out; F5 grades ride a shorter history (2023–2025). No grade is ever re-graded; only its result is filled in after the game. · Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.